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Estimating risks of European option books using neural-SDE market models

Abstract:
In this paper we examine the capacity of arbitrage-free neural stochastic differential equation market models to produce realistic scenarios for the joint dynamics of multiple European options on a single underlying. We subsequently demonstrate their use as a risk simulation engine for option portfolios. Through backtesting analysis we show that our models are more computationally efficient and accurate for evaluating the value-at-risk of option portfolios than standard filtered historical simulation approaches, with better coverage and less procyclicality.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.21314/JCF.2022.028

Authors


More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Mathematical Institute
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Mathematical Institute
Oxford college:
St Catherine's College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-4027-5298
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Mathematical Institute
Role:
Author


Publisher:
Infopro Digital Services
Journal:
Journal of Computational Finance More from this journal
Volume:
26
Issue:
3
Pages:
33-72
Publication date:
2023-03-07
Acceptance date:
2022-12-22
DOI:
EISSN:
1755-2850
ISSN:
1460-1559


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1316994
Local pid:
pubs:1316994
Deposit date:
2022-12-23

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