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Campaigning to a polarised electorate: emotions and information in real election campaigns

Abstract:
Political polarisation has reshaped electoral competition in many democracies, presenting traditional programmatic political parties with a dual challenge: finding ways to make policy-based campaigning resonate with voters without exacerbating partisan divisions. We partner with a mainstream opposition party to implement a field experiment during the 2019 Philippine Senatorial election to compare two common campaign strategies—direct policy-focused canvassing and an emotional engagement component—to assess both their electoral effects and their implications for polarisation. We find that, even in polarised contexts, in-person engagement providing policy information increases votes for the party. Both strategies increase learning, and importantly, neither strategy produces backlash among pro-incumbent voters; if anything, evidence suggests cross-cutting moderating effects. These results suggest that mainstream parties can communicate policy effectively even in highly polarised contexts, and that direct policy and emotional engagement need not exacerbate partisan divides.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1093/ej/ueag058

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
Blavatnik School of Government
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-3776-6726


Publisher:
Oxford University Press
Journal:
Economic Journal More from this journal
Article number:
ueag058
Publication date:
2026-05-01
Acceptance date:
2026-04-27
DOI:
EISSN:
1468-0297
ISSN:
0013-0133


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
2411983
Local pid:
pubs:2411983
Deposit date:
2026-04-27
ARK identifier:

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