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Dynamic Government Performance: Honeymoons and Crises of Confidence.

Abstract:

We model the interplay between a government’s performance, its expected lifetime, and the confidence it enjoys. Here, “confidence” can be broadly interpreted as the government’s popularity, the size of its parliamentary majority, its reserve of talent, or other factors. Confidence evolves in response to performance, and if it evaporates then the government falls. We analyze how confidence influences ministers’ behavior. A minister’s tenure is determined by the performance of both himself and ...

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Authors


David Myatt More by this author
Torun Dewan More by this author
Volume:
500
Series:
Discussion paper series
Publication date:
2010-08-05
URN:
uuid:fcb068da-ac6e-4fd8-b427-8e03d1fe9636
Local pid:
oai:economics.ouls.ox.ac.uk:14999
Language:
English

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