- Abstract:
-
Time series analysis of a climate-driven model of malaria transmission shows limited evidence for an increase in suitability during the last century across Africa. Outside areas where climate was always or never suitable, <17% of the continent showed significant trends in malaria transmission. Of these areas, 5.7% showed positive deterministic trends, 6.1% had negative deterministic trends, and 5.1% exhibited stochastic trends. In areas with positive trends, precipitation, rather than temp...
Expand abstract - Publication status:
- Published
- Publisher copy:
- 10.1073/pnas.2236969100
-
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- Journal:
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
- Volume:
- 100
- Issue:
- 26
- Pages:
- 15341-15345
- Publication date:
- 2003-12-05
- DOI:
- EISSN:
-
1091-6490
- ISSN:
-
0027-8424
- URN:
-
uuid:f9bce8a9-fc3a-4f6e-a456-c5fbe034f0dc
- Source identifiers:
-
210603
- Local pid:
- pubs:210603
- Language:
- English
- Keywords:
- Copyright date:
- 2003
Journal article
Climatic suitability for malaria transmission in Africa, 1911-1995.
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