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Climatic suitability for malaria transmission in Africa, 1911-1995.

Abstract:

Time series analysis of a climate-driven model of malaria transmission shows limited evidence for an increase in suitability during the last century across Africa. Outside areas where climate was always or never suitable, <17% of the continent showed significant trends in malaria transmission. Of these areas, 5.7% showed positive deterministic trends, 6.1% had negative deterministic trends, and 5.1% exhibited stochastic trends. In areas with positive trends, precipitation, rather than temp...

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Publication status:
Published

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Publisher copy:
10.1073/pnas.2236969100

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Oxford, MPLS, Zoology
Role:
Author
Journal:
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Volume:
100
Issue:
26
Pages:
15341-15345
Publication date:
2003-12-05
DOI:
EISSN:
1091-6490
ISSN:
0027-8424
URN:
uuid:f9bce8a9-fc3a-4f6e-a456-c5fbe034f0dc
Source identifiers:
210603
Local pid:
pubs:210603

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