OBJECTIVE: To develop methods to produce small-area estimates of need for hip and knee replacement surgery to inform local health service planning. METHODS: Multilevel Poisson regression modeling was used to estimate rates of need for hip/knee replacement by age, sex, deprivation, rurality, and ethnic mix using a nationally representative population-based survey (the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing, n = 11,392 people age > or =50 years). Estimates of need from the regression model wer...Expand abstract
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Modeling the need for hip and knee replacement surgery. Part 2. Incorporating census data to provide small-area predictions for need with uncertainty bounds.
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