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Attribution analysis of the Ethiopian drought of 2015

Abstract:

In northern and central Ethiopia, 2015 was a very dry year. Rainfall was only one-half to three-quarters of the usual amount, with both the Belg (Feb–May) and Kiremt rains (Jun–Sep) affected. The timing of the rains that did fall was also erratic. Many crops failed, causing food shortages for many millions of people. We investigated the role of climate change in the probability of drought like this, focusing on the large-scale precipitation deficit in February–September 2015 in northern and c...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed
Version:
Publisher's version

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Publisher copy:
10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0274.1

Authors


van Oldenborgh, GJ More by this author
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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
Social Sciences Division
Department:
SOGE; Environmental Change Institute
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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
Social Sciences Division
Department:
SOGE; Environmental Change Institute
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Grant:
Raising Risk Awareness project
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Grant:
EUCLEIA under Grant Agreement No. 607085
Publisher:
American Meteorological Society Publisher's website
Journal:
Journal of Climate Journal website
Volume:
31
Issue:
6
Pages:
2465-2486
Publication date:
2018-03-01
Acceptance date:
2017-10-10
DOI:
EISSN:
1520-0442
ISSN:
0894-8755
Pubs id:
pubs:742079
URN:
uri:f057b9f9-2a54-4a67-9c5f-492b38cdb84d
UUID:
uuid:f057b9f9-2a54-4a67-9c5f-492b38cdb84d
Local pid:
pubs:742079

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