Journal article
Scenario planning for strategic decision-making, learning, and managing uncertainty
- Abstract:
- In times of radical uncertainty marked by geopolitical conflict, technological disruptions, societal transformations, and climate risk, scenario planning is critical for strategists. In this introduction to the special issue on scenario planning, we showcase scenario planning as a dynamic, integrative approach for strengthening strategic decision-making, facilitating organizational learning, and enhancing management amidst uncertainty without trying to predict the future. We highlight what we see as the collective contributions and managerial takeaways of this special issue that underscore the relevance of scenario planning for organizations seeking adaptability, resilience and success in turbulent environments, and suggest directions for future research.
- Publication status:
- Published
- Peer review status:
- Peer reviewed
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- Files:
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(Preview, Version of record, pdf, 539.7KB, Terms of use)
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- Publisher copy:
- 10.1177/00081256261432933
Authors
- Publisher:
- SAGE Publications
- Journal:
- California Management Review More from this journal
- Publication date:
- 2026-05-06
- Acceptance date:
- 2026-01-27
- DOI:
- EISSN:
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2162-8564
- ISSN:
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0008-1256
- Language:
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English
- Keywords:
- Pubs id:
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2366960
- Local pid:
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pubs:2366960
- Deposit date:
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2026-02-04
- ARK identifier:
Terms of use
- Copyright holder:
- The Regents of the University of California
- Copyright date:
- 2026
- Rights statement:
- © The Regents of the University of California 2026. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits non-commercial use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission provided the original work is attributed as specified on the SAGE and Open Access pages (https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/open-access-at-sage).
- Licence:
- CC Attribution (CC BY)
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