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Dropout inference in Bayesian neural networks with alpha-divergences

Abstract:
To obtain uncertainty estimates with real-world Bayesian deep learning models, practical inference approximations are needed. Dropout variational inference (VI) for example has been used for machine vision and medical applications, but VI can severely underestimates model uncertainty. Alpha-divergences are alternative divergences to VI’s KL objective, which are able to avoid VI’s uncertainty underestimation. But these are hard to use in practice: existing techniques can only use Gaussian approximating distributions, and require existing models to be changed radically, thus are of limited use for practitioners. We propose a re-parametrisation of the alpha-divergence objectives, deriving a simple inference technique which, together with dropout, can be easily implemented with existing models by simply changing the loss of the model. We demonstrate improved uncertainty estimates and accuracy compared to VI in dropout networks. We study our model’s epistemic uncertainty far away from the data using adversarial images, showing that these can be distinguished from non-adversarial images by examining our model’s uncertainty.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Computer Science
Role:
Author


Publisher:
PMLR
Host title:
Proceedings of the 34th International Conference on Machine Learning
Journal:
Proceedings of the 34th International Conference on Machine Learning More from this journal
Volume:
70
Pages:
2052-2061
Series:
Proceedings of Machine Learning Research
Publication date:
2017-07-17
Acceptance date:
2017-05-13
ISSN:
1938-7228


Pubs id:
pubs:746868
UUID:
uuid:efc803b6-6b67-4481-8e4d-d945b44ebd9d
Local pid:
pubs:746868
Source identifiers:
746868
Deposit date:
2018-02-28

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