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Journal article

The dynamics of measles epidemics.

Abstract:

The interepidemic interval (T) of measles in London from 1647 to 1837 evolved progressively from 5-yearly to 2-yearly by 1800. Measles mortality was significantly ( p<0.001) cross-correlated with the annual wheat prices, a good index of nutrition although at a 2-year lag. Epidemics correlated with low autumn temperatures (p<0. 001). A linearised model of the dynamics of epidemics shows that T is determined by the product of population (N) and susceptibility (beta) and that the system wi...

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Publication status:
Published

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Publisher copy:
10.1006/tpbi.1997.1326

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Oxford, MPLS, Engineering Science
Role:
Author
Journal:
Theoretical population biology
Volume:
52
Issue:
2
Pages:
155-163
Publication date:
1997-10-05
DOI:
EISSN:
1096-0325
ISSN:
0040-5809
URN:
uuid:eea46bdb-e22d-4da3-9afb-e660c816b87a
Source identifiers:
317497
Local pid:
pubs:317497

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