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On the predictability of the extreme summer 2003 over Europe

Abstract:

The European summer 2003 is a prominent example for an extreme hot and dry season. The main mechanisms that contributed to the growth of the heat wave are still disputed and state-of-the-art climate models have difficulty to realistically simulate the extreme conditions. Here we analyse simulations using recent versions of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts seasonal ensemble forecasting system and present, for the first time, retrospective forecasts which simulate accurate...

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Publication status:
Published

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Publisher copy:
10.1029/2010GL046455

Authors


More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Physics
Sub department:
Atmos Ocean & Planet Physics
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Physics
Sub department:
Atmos Ocean & Planet Physics
Role:
Author
Journal:
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
Volume:
38
Issue:
5
Pages:
n/a-n/a
Publication date:
2011-03-04
DOI:
ISSN:
0094-8276
Source identifiers:
159193
Language:
English
Pubs id:
pubs:159193
UUID:
uuid:ee628184-7214-4d56-9ed7-952895d635bf
Local pid:
pubs:159193
Deposit date:
2012-12-19

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