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The Lambarene Organ Dysfunction Score (LODS) is a simple clinical predictor of fatal malaria in African children

Abstract:

Background: Plasmodium falciparum malaria accounts for >1 million deaths annually, mostly among young children in sub-Saharan Africa. Identifying those individuals who are likely to die is crucial. Several factors have been independently associated with death. Because malaria is a systemic disease, a quantitative score combining such risk factors may be superior.


Methods: We used both forward and backward stepwise logistic regression to select the best predictors of death, as evaluated for 23,890 African children with severe P. falciparum malaria. The study was conducted from December 2000 through May 2005 in 6 hospital-based research units (in Banjul in the Gambia, Blantyre in Malawi, Kilifi in Kenya, Kumasi in Ghana, and Lambaréné and Libreville in Gabon) in a network established to study severe malaria in African children (ie, the SMAC Network).


Results: The Lambaréné Organ Dysfunction Score (LODS) combines 3 variables: coma, prostration, and deep breathing. A LODS >0 (odd ratio, 9.6; 95% confidence interval, 8.0–11.4) has 85% sensitivity to predict death, and a LODS <3 is highly (98%) specific for survival.


Conclusions: The LODS is a simple clinical predictor of fatal malaria in African children. This score provides accurate and rapid identification of children needing either referral or increased attention.

Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1086/648409

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More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Experimental Psychology
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-6999-5507


Publisher:
Oxford University Press
Journal:
Journal of Infectious Diseases More from this journal
Volume:
200
Issue:
12
Pages:
1834-1841
Publication date:
2009-12-15
Acceptance date:
2009-07-31
DOI:
EISSN:
1537-6613
ISSN:
0022-1899


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:185691
UUID:
uuid:ee2b9553-eeea-4afa-afeb-67e841e2ac8a
Local pid:
pubs:185691
Source identifiers:
185691
Deposit date:
2012-12-19
ARK identifier:

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