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Anthropogenic influence on the 2018 summer warm spell in Europe: the impact of different spatio-temporal scales

Abstract:
We demonstrate that, in attribution studies, events defined over longer time scales generally produce higher probability ratios due to lower interannual variability, reconciling seemingly inconsistent attribution results of Europe’s 2018 summer heatwaves in reported studies.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Zoology
Oxford college:
Lincoln College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-4470-1813
Publisher:
American Meteorological Society
Journal:
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society More from this journal
Volume:
101
Issue:
S1
Pages:
S41-S46
Publication date:
2020-02-14
Acceptance date:
2019-12-06
DOI:
EISSN:
1520-0477
Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:1076747
UUID:
uuid:e97c54b3-8aad-4ef8-8d10-9e0f2f23f9d5
Local pid:
pubs:1076747
Source identifiers:
1076747
Deposit date:
2019-12-06

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