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Journal article

The dynamics of smallpox epidemics in Britain, 1550-1800.

Abstract:

Time-series analysis, a valuable tool in studying population dynamics, has been used to determine the periodicity of smallpox epidemics during the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries in two contrasting representative situations: 1) London, a large city where smallpox was endemic, and 2) Penrith, a small rural town. The interepidemic period was found to be two years in London and five years in Penrith. Equations governing the dynamics of epidemics predict 1) a two-year periodicity and 2) that...

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Publication status:
Published

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Publisher copy:
10.2307/2061648

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Oxford, MPLS, Engineering Science
Role:
Author
Journal:
Demography
Volume:
30
Issue:
3
Pages:
405-423
Publication date:
1993-08-05
DOI:
EISSN:
1533-7790
ISSN:
0070-3370
URN:
uuid:e8e4c95c-45a8-41ef-b169-6ed228eb9bcf
Source identifiers:
317477
Local pid:
pubs:317477

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