Working paper
The political economics of the Arab Spring
- Abstract:
- The Arab Spring has led to very different outcomes across the Arab world. I present a highly stylized model of the Arab Spring to better understand these differences. In this model, dictators from the ethnic or religious majority group concede power if their country is oil-poor, but can stay in power by bribing the people if their country is oil-rich. Dictators from the minority group often rely on other members of their group to repress protests and to ght the majority group if necessary. These predictions are consistent with observed outcomes in Egypt, Libya, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tunisia, and elsewhere.
- Publication status:
- Published
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Authors
- Publisher:
- University of Oxford
- Series:
- OxCarre Papers
- Publication date:
- 2012-12-25
- Paper number:
- 101
- Keywords:
- Pubs id:
-
1143782
- Local pid:
-
pubs:1143782
- Deposit date:
-
2020-12-15
Terms of use
- Copyright date:
- 2012
- Rights statement:
- Copyright 2012 The Author(s)
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