Impact of Non-pharmaceutical Interventions on the Control of COVID-19 in Iran: A Mathematical Modeling Study

Journal article

Our models suggest that the NPIs implemented in Iran between January 21, 2020 and September 21, 2020 had significant effects on the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic. Our study also showed that the timely implementation of NPIs showed a profound effect on further reductions in the numbers of infections and deaths. This highlights the importance of forecasting and early detection of future waves of infection and of the need for effective preparedness and response capabilities.

Authors: Nakhaeizadeh, M; Eybpoosh, S; Jahani, Y; Gohari, MA; Haghdoost, AA

• Publication status: Published
• Peer review status: Peer reviewed
• Publisher: Kerman University of Medical Sciences
• Journal: International Journal of Health Policy and Management
• Volume: 11
• Issue: 8
• Pages: 1472-1481
• Publication date: 2021-06-09
• DOI: 10.34172/ijhpm.2021.48
• EISSN: 2322-5939
• ISSN: 2322-5939
• Language: English
• Keywords: Environmental health; Epidemic model; Demography; Psychological intervention; Biology; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Infectious disease (medical specialty); Disease; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Basic reproduction number; Pandemic; Medicine; Isolation (microbiology); Bioinformatics; Population; Internal medicine