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Credible Deviations from Signaling Equilibria.

Abstract:
In games with costly signaling, some equilibria are vulnerable to deviations which could be "unambiguously" interpreted as coming from a unique set of Sender-types. This occurs when these types are precisely the ones who gain from deviating for any beliefs the Receiver could form over that set. We show that this idea characterizes a unique equilibrium outcome in two classes of games. First, in monotonic signaling games, only the Riley outcome is immune to this sort of deviation. Our result therefore provides a plausible story behind the selection made by Cho and Kreps' (1987) D1 criterion on this class of games. Second, we examine a version of Crawford and Sobel's (1982) model with costly signaling, where standard refinements have no effect. We show that only a Riley-like separating equilibrium is immune to these deviations.

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Publisher copy:
10.1007/s00182-009-0161-x

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Publisher:
Springer
Journal:
International Journal of Game Theory More from this journal
Volume:
38
Issue:
3
Pages:
411 - 430
Publication date:
2009-11-01
DOI:
ISSN:
0020-7276


Language:
English
UUID:
uuid:d1128352-abe5-42af-955c-ec16e9494209
Local pid:
oai:economics.ouls.ox.ac.uk:14788
Deposit date:
2011-08-16

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