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Spatial variation and inequities in antenatal care coverage in Kenya, Uganda and mainland Tanzania using model-based geostatistics: a socioeconomic and geographical accessibility lens

Abstract:
BACKGROUND: Pregnant women in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) experience the highest levels of maternal mortality and stillbirths due to predominantly avoidable causes. Antenatal care (ANC) can prevent, detect, alleviate, or manage these causes. While eight ANC contacts are now recommended, coverage of the previous minimum of four visits (ANC4+) remains low and inequitable in SSA. METHODS: We modelled ANC4+ coverage and likelihood of attaining district-level target coverage of 70% across three equity stratifiers (household wealth, maternal education, and travel time to the nearest health facility) based on data from malaria indicator surveys in Kenya (2020), Uganda (2018/19) and Tanzania (2017). Geostatistical models were fitted to predict ANC4+ coverage and compute exceedance probability for target coverage. The number of pregnant women without ANC4+ were computed. Prediction was at 3 km spatial resolution and aggregated at national and district -level for sub-national planning. RESULTS: About six in ten women reported ANC4+ visits, meaning that approximately 3 million women in the three countries had  20,000 women having
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-3410-1881
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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-0509-1373
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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-4449-0131


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Funder identifier:
10.13039/501100003130
Grant:
1234820N
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Funder identifier:
10.13039/100010269
Grant:
203077
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Funder identifier:
10.13039/501100000288
Grant:
NIF/R1/201418
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Funder identifier:
10.13039/501100000266
Grant:
EP/T003677/1


Publisher:
BioMed Central
Journal:
BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth More from this journal
Volume:
22
Issue:
1
Pages:
908-908
Article number:
908
Publication date:
2022-12-06
DOI:
EISSN:
1471-2393
ISSN:
1471-2393


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1316601
Local pid:
pubs:1316601
Source identifiers:
W4310794612
Deposit date:
2026-04-30
ARK identifier:
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