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Uncertain impacts on economic growth when stabilizing global temperatures at 1.5°C or 2°C warming

Abstract:

Empirical evidence suggests that variations in climate affect economic growth across countries over time. However, little is known about the relative impacts of climate change on economic outcomes when global mean surface temperature (GMST) is stabilized at 1.5°C or 2°C warming relative to pre-industrial levels. Here we use a new set of climate simulations under 1.5°C and 2°C warming from the 'Half a degree Additional warming, Prognosis and Projected Impacts' (HAPPI) project to assess changes...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed
Version:
Publisher's version

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Publisher copy:
10.1098/rsta.2016.0460

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
Social Sciences Division
Department:
Economics
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-1435-9295
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
Humanities Division
Department:
History Faculty
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
Social Sciences Division
Department:
SOGE; Environmental Change Institute
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
Social Sciences Division
Department:
SOGE; Geography
Oxford college:
Linacre College
Role:
Author
Robertson Foundation More from this funder
Publisher:
Royal Society Publisher's website
Journal:
Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences Journal website
Volume:
376
Issue:
2119
Pages:
20160460
Publication date:
2018-04-02
Acceptance date:
2017-10-10
DOI:
EISSN:
1471-2962
ISSN:
1364-503X
Pubs id:
pubs:831212
URN:
uri:d0476809-e5c7-4bb0-a122-812f6b58ec8e
UUID:
uuid:d0476809-e5c7-4bb0-a122-812f6b58ec8e
Local pid:
pubs:831212

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