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Building back better to avert a learning catastrophe: estimating learning loss from COVID-19 school shutdowns in Africa and facilitating short-term and long-term learning recovery

Abstract:
We model learning losses due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the potential for cost-effective strategies to build back better. Data from Early Grade Reading Assessments in Ethiopia, Kenya, Liberia, Tanzania, and Uganda suggest half to over a year’s worth of learning loss. In modeling losses over time, we found that learning deficits for a child in grade 3 could lead to 2.8 years of lost learning by grade 10. While COVID-19 has stymied learning, bold, learning-focused reform consistent with the literature reviewed in this paper—specifically reform on targeted instruction and structured pedagogy—could improve learning even beyond pre-COVID-19 levels.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1016/j.ijedudev.2021.102397

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
Blavatnik School of Government
Oxford college:
St John's College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-2750-1916


Publisher:
Elsevier
Journal:
International Journal of Educational Development More from this journal
Volume:
84
Pages:
102397
Publication date:
2021-05-03
Acceptance date:
2021-03-19
DOI:
EISSN:
1873-4871
ISSN:
0738-0593


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1640126
Local pid:
pubs:1640126
Deposit date:
2025-06-24
ARK identifier:

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