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Doughnut of social and planetary boundaries monitors a world out of balance

Abstract:
The doughnut-shaped framework of social and planetary boundaries (the ‘Doughnut’) provides a concise visual assessment of progress towards the goal of meeting the needs of all people within the means of the living planet1, 2–3. Here we present a renewed Doughnut framework with a revised set of 35 indicators that monitor trends in social deprivation and ecological overshoot over the 2000–2022 period. Although global gross domestic product (GDP) has more than doubled, our median results show a modest achievement in reducing human deprivation that would have to accelerate fivefold to meet the needs of all people by 2030. Meanwhile, the increase in ecological overshoot would have to stop immediately and accelerate nearly two times faster towards planetary boundaries to safeguard Earth-system stability by 2050. Disaggregating these global findings shows that the richest 20% of nations, with 15% of the global population, contribute more than 40% of annual ecological overshoot, whereas the poorest 40% of countries, with 42% of the global population, experience more than 60% of the social shortfall. These trends and inequalities reaffirm the case for overcoming the dependence of nations on perpetual GDP growth4, 5 and reorienting towards regenerative and distributive economic activity—within and between nations—that assigns priority to human needs and planetary integrity.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1038/s41586-025-09385-1

Authors

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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-7929-3672
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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
SOGE
Sub department:
Environmental Change Institute
Role:
Author


Publisher:
Nature Research
Journal:
Nature More from this journal
Volume:
646
Issue:
8083
Pages:
47-56
Publication date:
2025-10-01
Acceptance date:
2025-07-10
DOI:
EISSN:
1476-4687
ISSN:
0028-0836


Language:
English
UUID:
uuid_cb7f2af6-96de-4744-9b44-185ce77c6b14
Source identifiers:
3337379
Deposit date:
2025-10-02
ARK identifier:
This ORA record was generated from metadata provided by an external service. It has not been edited by the ORA Team.

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