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Journal article

The luxury of lockdown

Abstract:
Regression analysis based on data from Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker and the World Bank datasets for 169 countries suggests that containment policies have, in general, a significant role in reducing the pandemic’s fatality rate across all countries. However (i) there is at least a three weeks lag in realising the impact, (ii) the effectiveness increases with per capita income and, more specifically, (iii) workplace closure is ineffective in low-income countries. The analysis of data from Demographic and Health Survey (the DHS Programme) and IMF Policy Tracker indicates that developing countries are unlikely to have the basis required for effectively adopting stringent lockdown measures and instead would need to consider specifically targeted lockdown policies.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1057/s41287-021-00389-x

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
Blavatnik School of Government
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-4477-1555


Publisher:
Springer
Journal:
European Journal of Development Research More from this journal
Volume:
34
Pages:
503-523
Publication date:
2021-04-09
Acceptance date:
2021-03-13
DOI:
EISSN:
1743-9728
ISSN:
0957-8811
Pmid:
33850346


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1173058
Local pid:
pubs:1173058
Deposit date:
2022-10-19

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