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Predictive decision making driven by multiple time-linked reward representations in the anterior cingulate cortex

Abstract:
In many natural environments the value of a choice gradually gets better or worse as circumstances change. Discerning such trends makes predicting future choice values possible. We show that humans track such trends by comparing estimates of recent and past reward rates, which they are able to hold simultaneously in the dorsal anterior cingulate cortex (dACC). Comparison of recent and past reward rates with positive and negative decision weights is reflected by opposing dACC signals indexing these quantities. The relative strengths of time-linked reward representations in dACC predict whether subjects persist in their current behaviour or switch to an alternative. Computationally, trend-guided choice can be modelled by using a reinforcement-learning mechanism that computes a longer-term estimate (or expectation) of prediction errors. Using such a model, we find a relative predominance of expected prediction errors in dACC, instantaneous prediction errors in the ventral striatum and choice signals in the ventromedial prefrontal cortex.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1038/ncomms12327

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Oxford college:
Wadham College
Role:
Author
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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Experimental Psychology
Role:
Author


Publisher:
Nature Publishing Group
Journal:
Nature Communications More from this journal
Volume:
7
Article number:
12327
Publication date:
2016-01-01
Acceptance date:
2016-06-23
DOI:
ISSN:
2041-1723


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:638221
UUID:
uuid:c7ec9da0-c07c-4657-aa37-b062218bfab7
Local pid:
pubs:638221
Source identifiers:
638221
Deposit date:
2016-08-16
ARK identifier:

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