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Changes in sick notes associated with COVID-19 from 2020 to 2022: a cohort study in 24 million primary care patients in OpenSAFELY-TPP

Abstract:

Objectives: Long-term sickness absence from employment has negative consequences for the economy and can lead to widened health inequalities. Sick notes (also called ‘fit notes’) are issued by general practitioners when a person cannot work for health reasons for more than 7 days. We quantified the sick note rate in people with evidence of COVID-19 in 2020, 2021 and 2022, as an indication of the burden for people recovering from COVID-19.

Design: Cohort study

Setting: With National Health Service (NHS) England approval, we used routine clinical data (primary care, hospital and COVID-19 testing records) within the OpenSAFELY-TPP database.

Participants: People 18–64 years with a recorded positive test or diagnosis of COVID-19 in 2020 (n=365 421), 2021 (n=1 206 555) or 2022 (n=1 321 313); general population matched in age, sex and region in 2019 (n=3 140 326), 2020 (n=3 439 534), 2021 (n=4 571 469) and 2022 (n=4 818 870); people hospitalised with pneumonia in 2019 (n=29 673).

Primary outcome measure: Receipt of a sick note in primary care.

Results: Among people with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test or COVID-19 diagnosis, the sick note rate was 4.88 per 100 person-months (95% CI 4.83 to 4.93) in 2020, 2.66 (95% CI 2.64 to 2.67) in 2021 and 1.73 (95% CI 1.72 to 1.73) in 2022. Compared with the age, sex and region-matched general population, the adjusted HR for receipt of a sick note over the entire follow-up period (up to 10 months) was 4.07 (95% CI 4.02 to 4.12) in 2020 decreasing to 1.57 (95% CI 1.56 to 1.58) in 2022. The HR was highest in the first 30 days postdiagnosis in all years. Among people hospitalised with COVID-19, after adjustment, the sick note rate was lower than in people hospitalised with pneumonia.

Conclusions: Given the under-recording of postacute COVID-19-related symptoms, these findings contribute a valuable perspective on the long-term effects of COVID-19. Despite likely underestimation of the sick note rate, sick notes were issued more frequently to people with COVID-19 compared with those without, even in an era when most people are vaccinated. Most sick notes occurred in the first 30 days postdiagnosis, but the increased risk several months postdiagnosis may provide further evidence of the long-term impact.

Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Files:
Publisher copy:
10.1136/bmjopen-2023-080600

Authors


More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Primary Care Health Sciences
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-3701-4997
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Primary Care Health Sciences
Role:
Author
More by this author
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-5364-8757
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Primary Care Health Sciences
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-3786-9063


More from this funder
Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/029chgv08
Grant:
222097/Z/20/Z
More from this funder
Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/03x94j517
Grant:
MC_PC_20058
More from this funder
Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/001aqnf71
Grant:
MR/V015737/1
MR/W016729/1
MC_PC_20059
MC_PC_20058
More from this funder
Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/0439y7842
Grant:
EP/S02428X/1


Publisher:
BMJ Publishing Group
Journal:
BMJ Open More from this journal
Volume:
14
Issue:
7
Article number:
e080600
Place of publication:
England
Publication date:
2024-07-03
Acceptance date:
2024-06-05
DOI:
EISSN:
2044-6055
Pmid:
38960458


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
2012707
Local pid:
pubs:2012707
Deposit date:
2025-02-06

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