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Regression discontinuity designs based on population thresholds: pitfalls and solutions

Abstract:

In many countries, important features of municipal government (such as the electoral system, mayors' salaries, and the number of councillors) depend on whether the municipality is above or below arbitrary population thresholds. Several papers have used a regression discontinuity design (RDD) to measure the effects of these threshold-based policies on political and economic outcomes. Using evidence from France, Germany, and Italy, we highlight two common pitfalls that arise in exploiting population-based policies (compound treatment and sorting) and we provide guidance for detecting and addressing these pitfalls. Even when these problems are present, population-threshold RDD may be the best available research design for studying the effects of certain policies and political institutions.

Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
Politics & Int Relations
Oxford college:
Nuffield College
Role:
Author


Publisher:
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
Journal:
IZA Discussion Papers More from this journal
Volume:
9553
Publication date:
2015-12-01
ISSN:
2365-9793


Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:679438
UUID:
uuid:b8459265-d6da-466e-8346-0dbafbc4fcff
Local pid:
pubs:679438
Source identifiers:
679438
Deposit date:
2017-05-04
ARK identifier:

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