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Cost-effectiveness of a proportionate universal offer of free exercise: Leeds Let’s Get Active

Abstract:

Background

The purpose of this paper is to assess the cost-effectiveness of a proportionate universal programme to reduce physical inactivity (Leeds Let us Get Active (LLGA)) in adults.

Methods

A continuous-time Markov chain model was developed to assess the cost implications and QALY gains associated with increases in physical activity levels across the adult population. A parametric survival analysis approach was applied to estimate the decay of intervention effect over time. Baseline model data were obtained from previous economic models, population-based surveys and other published literature. A cost-utility analysis was conducted from a health care sector perspective over the programme duration (39 months). Scenario and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of cost-effectiveness results.

Results

In total, 51 874 adult residents registered to the programme and provided baseline data,19.5% of which were living in deprived areas. Under base case assumptions, LLGA was found to be likely to be cost-effective. However, variations in key structural assumptions showed sensitivity of the results.

Conclusions

Results from this study suggest a non-negligible level of uncertainty regarding the effectiveness, and therefore, cost-effectiveness of a universal offer of free leisure centre-based exercise that targets hard to reach groups. Further data collection and a shift towards prospective evaluations are needed.

Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1093/pubmed/fdaa113

Authors


More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Nuffield Department of Population Health
Sub department:
Population Health
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-1521-088X


Publisher:
Oxford University Press
Journal:
Journal of Public Health More from this journal
Volume:
43
Issue:
4
Pages:
876–886
Publication date:
2020-08-05
Acceptance date:
2020-06-24
DOI:
EISSN:
1741-3850
ISSN:
1741-3842


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1108874
Local pid:
pubs:1108874
Deposit date:
2020-08-01

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