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(Why) do central banks care about their profits?

Abstract:
We document that central banks are discontinuously more likely to report slightly positive profits than slightly negative profits, especially when political pressure is greater, the public is more receptive to extreme political views, and central bank governors are eligible for reappointment. The propensity to report small profits over small losses is correlated with higher inflation and lower interest rates. We conclude that there are agency problems at central banks, which give rise to discontinuous profit incentives that correlate with central banks’ policy choices and outcomes. These findings inform the debate about the political economy of central banking and central bank design.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1111/jofi.13257

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
Saïd Business School
Role:
Author


Publisher:
Wiley
Journal:
Journal of Finance More from this journal
Volume:
78
Issue:
5
Pages:
2991-3045
Publication date:
2023-06-22
Acceptance date:
2021-12-13
DOI:
EISSN:
1540-6261
ISSN:
0022-1082


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1226814
Local pid:
pubs:1226814
Deposit date:
2021-12-22

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