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Crop yield sensitivity of global major agricultural countries to droughts and the projected changes in the future

Abstract:

Understanding the potential drought impacts on agricultural production is critical for ensuring global food security. Instead of providing a deterministic estimate, this study investigates the likelihood of yield loss of wheat, maize, rice and soybeans in response to droughts of various intensities in the 10 largest producing countries. We use crop-country specific standardized precipitation index (SPI) and census yield data for 1961–2016 to build a probabilistic modeling framework for estima...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed
Version:
Publisher's Version

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Publisher copy:
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.434

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
Social Sciences Division
Department:
SOGE
Subgroup:
Environmental Change Institute
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
Social Sciences Division
Department:
SOGE
Subgroup:
Environmental Change Institute
Role:
Author
Publisher:
Elsevier Publisher's website
Journal:
Science of the Total Environment Journal website
Volume:
654
Pages:
811-821
Publication date:
2018-11-05
Acceptance date:
2018-10-31
DOI:
ISSN:
1879-1026 and 0048-9697
Pubs id:
pubs:935983
URN:
uri:b4c75318-c699-418c-9e8a-b0941745d8e8
UUID:
uuid:b4c75318-c699-418c-9e8a-b0941745d8e8
Local pid:
pubs:935983

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