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Journal article

Troponin and BNP are markers for subsequent non-ischaemic congestive heart failure: the Caerphilly Prospective Study (CaPS)

Abstract:

Objective

To examine the long-term predictive value of 28 biomarkers for subsequent non-ischaemic congestive heart failure (CHF) and separately for other cardiovascular outcomes (myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke).

Methods

The Caerphilly Prospective Study recruited 2171 men aged 55–69 years from the general population in 1989–1993; men were screened for evidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and followed for clinical cardiovascular events. Fasting blood samples were stored at −70°C until assayed for novel biomarkers in 2010– 2013. A competing risks proportional hazards regression analysis was used to estimate subhazard ratios (SHRs) for each biomarker for each cardiovascular outcome.

Results

During follow-up (average 13 years), only new, initial events were evaluated in the whole cohort: 584 MIs, 313 strokes and 261 episodes of CHF (not associated with acute MI). In a subcohort of men who had no clinical history or evidence of CVD at baseline examination (n=1279) those in the top third of the distributions of troponin and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) showed a threefold increase in risk for subsequent CHF as a first event after adjustment for all conventional risk factors (SHRs 3.37, 95% CI 1.39 to 8.14 and 3.23, 95% CI 1.45 to 7.23), respectively, in contrast to moderate elevations in risk for acute MI (troponin SHR 1.63, 95% CI 1.10 to 2.41) and for stroke (BNP SHR 1.75 95% CI 1.06 to 2.88).

Conclusion

Troponin and BNP could be considered as potentially useful screening tools to detect subjects without prior CVD at increased risk of developing CHF in subsequent years in addition to having lesser roles for predicting subsequent MI (troponin) or stroke (BNP).

Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1136/openhrt-2017-000692

Authors



Publisher:
BMJ Publishing Group
Journal:
Open Heart More from this journal
Volume:
5
Issue:
1
Pages:
e000692
Publication date:
2018-02-23
Acceptance date:
2017-11-27
DOI:
EISSN:
2053-3624
ISSN:
2053-3624
Pmid:
29531757


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:830196
UUID:
uuid:b360e110-cec5-4ca2-a9f2-3b477027a86b
Local pid:
pubs:830196
Source identifiers:
830196
Deposit date:
2018-10-05

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