Four great Asian trade collapses

Working paper

This paper introduces a new dataset of commodity-specific, bilateral import data for four large Asian economies in the interwar period: China, the Dutch East Indies, India, and Japan. It uses these data to describe the interwar trade collapses in the economies concerned. These resembled the post-2008 Great Trade Collapse in some respects but not in others: they occurred along the intensive margin, imports of cars were particularly badly affected, and imports of durable goods fell by more than those of non-durables, except in China and India which were rapidly industrializing. On the other hand the import declines were geographically imbalanced, while prices were more important than quantities in driving the overall collapse.

Authors: de Bromhead, A; Fernihough, A; Lampe, M; Hjortshøj O’Rourke, K

• Publication status: Published
• Publisher: University of Oxford
• Article number: 190
• Series: Oxford Economic and Social History Working Papers
• Publication date: 2021-04-09
• Paper number: 190
• Language: English
• Keywords: interwar economy; protection; trade collapses