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Journal article

Understanding the link between temperature and crime

Abstract:
The correlation between hot weather and crime is well documented but not fully understood. We combine millions of administrative records, victimization surveys on unreported crime and daily weather information to analyze the effect of temperatures on crime in Mexico. We find that sample selection cannot explain the observed positive correlation between temperature and crime. Moreover, we find that shifts in alcohol consumption and time use on weekends are responsible for 28 percent of temperature-induced crimes. We also observe changes in the hour and location of crimes, providing new evidence on the importance of time use as a determinant of crime.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Files:
Publisher copy:
10.1257/pol.20220118

Authors


More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
SOGE
Sub department:
Smith School
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-7207-9948
More by this author
Division:
SSD
Department:
SOGE
Sub department:
Smith School
Role:
Author


Publisher:
American Economic Association
Journal:
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy More from this journal
Volume:
16
Issue:
2
Pages:
480-514
Publication date:
2024-05-01
Acceptance date:
2023-07-18
DOI:
EISSN:
1945-774X
ISSN:
1945-7731


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1600450
Local pid:
pubs:1600450
Deposit date:
2024-01-16

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