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Journal article

Stratospheric circulation in seasonal forecasting models: Implications for seasonal prediction

Abstract:

Accurate seasonal forecasts rely on the presence of low frequency, predictable signals in the climate system which have a sufficiently well understood and significant impact on the atmospheric circulation. In the Northern European region, signals associated with seasonal scale variability such as ENSO, North Atlantic SST anomalies and the North Atlantic Oscillation have not yet proven sufficient to enable satisfactorily skilful dynamical seasonal forecasts. The winter-time circulations of the...

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Publisher copy:
10.1007/s00382-009-0665-x

Authors


Journal:
Climate Dynamics
Volume:
36
Issue:
1
Pages:
309-321
Publication date:
2011-01-01
DOI:
EISSN:
1432-0894
ISSN:
0930-7575
URN:
uuid:ac66faea-1e97-4786-80f0-67c75cf3a9f8
Source identifiers:
239441
Local pid:
pubs:239441

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