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Beauty contests and the term structure

Abstract:

A novel decomposition highlights the scope for information to in uence the term structure of interest rates. Based on the law of total covariance, we show that real term premia in macroeconomic models contain a component that depends on covariances of realised stochastic discount factors and a component that depends on covariances of expectations of those stochastic discount factors. The impact of different informational assumptions can then be identified by looking at their effect on the sec...

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Publication status:
Published

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Publisher:
University of Oxford Publisher's website
Series:
Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series
Publication date:
2018-02-27
Paper number:
846
Keywords:
Pubs id:
868967
Local pid:
pubs:868967
Deposit date:
2020-12-14

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