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DR-ABC: Approximate Bayesian computation with kernel-based distribution regression

Abstract:
Performing exact posterior inference in complex generative models is often difficult or impossible due to an expensive to evaluate or intractable likelihood function. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is an inference framework that constructs an approximation to the true likelihood based on the similarity between the observed and simulated data as measured by a predefined set of summary statistics. Although the choice of appropriate problem-specific summary statistics crucially influences the quality of the likelihood approximation and hence also the quality of the posterior sample in ABC, there are only few principled general-purpose approaches to the selection or construction of such summary statistics. In this paper, we develop a novel framework for this task using kernel-based distribution regression. We model the functional relationship between data distributions and the optimal choice (with respect to a loss function) of summary statistics using kernel-based distribution regression. We show that our approach can be implemented in a computationally and statistically efficient way using the random Fourier features framework for large-scale kernel learning. In addition to that, our framework shows superior performance when compared to related methods on toy and real-world problems.
Publication status:
Published

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Statistics
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Statistics
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Statistics
Role:
Author


Publisher:
Journal of Machine Learning Research
Host title:
ICML 2016: 33rd International Conference on Machine Learning
Journal:
ICML 2016: 33rd International Conference on Machine Learning More from this journal
Publication date:
2016-06-11
Acceptance date:
2016-04-24
ISSN:
1533-7928


Pubs id:
pubs:625114
UUID:
uuid:977b4791-1dcd-412b-9c19-e49dfc086317
Local pid:
pubs:625114
Source identifiers:
625114
Deposit date:
2016-06-02

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