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Identification of an optimal mutant allele frequency to detect activating KRAS, NRAS, and BRAF mutations in a commercial cell-free DNA next-generation sequencing assay in colorectal and pancreatic adenocarcinomas

Abstract:

Background

Evaluation for activating mutations in KRAS, NRAS, and BRAF in colorectal cancer (CRC) and in KRAS in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is essential for clinical care. Plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) next-generation sequencing (NGS) allows convenient assessment of a tumor's molecular profile, however low tumor DNA shedding limits sensitivity. We investigated mutant allele frequency (MAF) of other oncogenic dominant genes to identify a threshold for accurate detection of KRAS, NRAS, and BRAF (RAS/RAF) mutations in cfDNA.

Methods

Molecular and clinical data were obtained from the Duke Molecular Registry of Tumors and the SCRUM-Japan GOZILA study. Patients with CRC or PDAC and a KRAS, NRAS, or BRAF activating single nucleotide variant (SNV) present on tissue NGS and with available cfDNA assays were included. Recursive partitioning and Wilcoxon-rank statistics methods identified potential cut-points for discriminative MAF values.

Results

One hundred and thirty-five CRC and 30 PDAC cases with 198 total cfDNA assays met criteria. Greatest non-RAS/RAF dominant gene MAF of 0.34% provided maximum discrimination for predicting RAS/RAF SNV detection. Sensitivity for RAS/RAF SNVs increased with dominant gene MAF, with MAF ≥1% predicting sensitivity >98%, MAF between 0.34 and 1% predicting sensitivity of 84.0%, and MAF £0.34% predicting sensitivity of 50%. For 43 cfDNA assays that did not detect RAS/RAF SNVs, 18 assays detected 34 other oncogenic variants, of which 80.6% were not also detected on tissue.

Conclusions

Non-RAS/RAF dominant oncogenic mutation MAF ≥1% on cfDNA NGS predicts high sensitivity to detect RAS/RAF oncogenic SNVs in CRC and PDAC. MAF £0.34% indicates an assay may not reliably detect RAS/RAF SNVs, despite detection on tissue testing. Most variants from assays that did not detect RAS/RAF had MAF <1% and were not detected on tissue, suggesting potential confounding. These data suggest a practical approach to determining cfDNA assay adequacy, with implications for guiding clinical decisions in CRC and PDAC.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.21037/jgo-23-114

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Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-3970-1651
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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-8901-7332
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ORCID:
0000-0002-6055-4342
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ORCID:
0000-0002-4050-2086
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Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-8021-8477


Publisher:
AME Publishing
Journal:
Journal of Gastrointestinal Oncology More from this journal
Volume:
14
Issue:
05
Pages:
2083-2096
Publication date:
2023-09-19
DOI:
EISSN:
2219-679X
ISSN:
2078-6891


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
2345233
Local pid:
pubs:2345233
Source identifiers:
W4388159482
Deposit date:
2025-12-05
ARK identifier:
This ORA record was generated from metadata provided by an external service. It has not been edited by the ORA Team.

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