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Estimation of gestational age from fundal height: A solution for resource-poor settings

Abstract:
Many women in resource-poor settings lack access to reliable gestational age assessment because they do not know their last menstrual period; there is no ultrasound (US) and methods of newborn gestational age dating are not practised by birth attendants. A bespoke multiple-measures model was developed to predict the expected date of delivery determined by US. The results are compared with both a linear and a nonlinear model. Prospectively collected early US and serial symphysis-pubis fundal height (SFH) data were used in the models. The data were collected from Karen and Burmese women attending antenatal care on the Thai-Burmese border. The multiple-measures model performed best, resulting in a range of accuracy depending on the number of SFH measures recorded per mother (for example six SFH measurements resulted in a prediction accuracy of ±2 weeks). SFH remains the proxy for gestational age in much of the resource-poor world. While more accurate measures should be encouraged, we demonstrate that a formula that incorporates at least three SFH measures from an individual mother and the slopes between them provide a significant increase in the accuracy of prediction compared with the linear and nonlinear formulae also using multiple SFH measures. © 2011 The Royal Society.

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Publisher copy:
10.1098/rsif.2011.0376

Authors


More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
NDM
Role:
Author


Journal:
Journal of the Royal Society Interface More from this journal
Volume:
9
Issue:
68
Pages:
503-510
Publication date:
2012-03-07
DOI:
EISSN:
1742-5662
ISSN:
1742-5689


Pubs id:
pubs:342885
UUID:
uuid:917b154b-4364-4693-8972-feeaeaa11ece
Local pid:
pubs:342885
Source identifiers:
342885
Deposit date:
2013-11-17

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