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The impacts of climate change on violent conflict risk: a review of causal pathways

Abstract:
The potential impacts of climate change on violent conflict are high on the agenda of scholars and policy makers. This article reviews existing literature to clarify the relationship between climate change and conflict risk, focusing on the roles of temperature and precipitation. While some debate remains, substantial evidence shows that climate change increases conflict risk under specific conditions. We examine four key pathways through which climate affects conflict: (i) economic shocks, (ii), agricultural decline, (iii) natural resources competition, and (iv) migration. Key gaps include limited long-term data, insufficient integrated studies, and the inadequate understanding of causal mechanisms, necessitating transdisciplinary research that addresses social vulnerability and underlying pathways.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1088/2515-7620/ad8a21

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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-1821-531X
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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-7171-3062
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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-8401-2372


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Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/031141b54
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Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/029chgv08
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Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/01h0zpd94


Publisher:
IOP Publishing
Journal:
Environmental Research Communications More from this journal
Volume:
6
Issue:
11
Article number:
112002
Publication date:
2024-11-11
Acceptance date:
2024-10-22
DOI:
EISSN:
2515-7620


Language:
English
Keywords:
Source identifiers:
2413081
Deposit date:
2024-11-12
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