Forecasting with Difference-Stationary and Trend-Stationary Models.
Although difference-stationary (DS) and trend-stationary (TS) processes have been subject to considerable analysis, there are no direct comparisons for each being the data-generation process (DGP). We examine incorrect choice between these models for forecasting for both known and estimated parameters. Three sets of Monte Carlo simulations illustrate the analysis, to evaluate the biases in conventional standard errors when each model is misspecified, compute the relative mean-square forecast ...Expand abstract
- The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
- Publication date:
- Local pid:
- Copyright date: