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Associations between body composition, fat distribution and metabolic consequences of excess adiposity with severe COVID-19 outcomes: observational study and Mendelian randomisation analysis

Abstract:

Background: Higher body mass index (BMI) and metabolic consequences of excess weight are associated with increased risk of severe COVID-19, though their mediating pathway is unclear.

Methods: A prospective cohort study included 435,504 UK Biobank participants. A two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) study used the COVID-19 Host Genetics Initiative in 1.6 million participants. We examined associations of total adiposity, body composition, fat distribution and metabolic consequences of excess weight, particularly type 2 diabetes, with incidence and severity of COVID-19, assessed by test positivity, hospital admission, intensive care unit (ICU) admission and death.

Results: BMI and body fat were associated with COVID-19 in the observational and MR analyses but muscle mass was not. The observational study suggested the association with central fat distribution was stronger than for BMI, but there was little evidence from the MR analyses than this was causal. There was evidence that strong associations of metabolic consequences with COVID-19 outcomes in observational but not MR analyses. Type 2 diabetes was strongly associated with COVID-19 in observational but not MR analyses. In adjusted models, the observational analysis showed that the association of BMI with COVID-19 diminished, while central fat distribution and metabolic consequences of excess weight remained strongly associated. In contrast, MR showed the reverse, with only BMI retaining a direct effect on COVID-19.

Conclusions: Excess total adiposity is probably casually associated with severe COVID-19. Mendelian randomisation data do not support causality for the observed associations of central fat distribution or metabolic consequences of excess adiposity with COVID-19.

Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1038/s41366-021-01054-3

Authors

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Primary Care Health Sciences
Oxford college:
Green Templeton College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-6196-7088
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
ContEd
Department:
Continuing Education
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-7536-922X
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Primary Care Health Sciences
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-9301-7458


Publisher:
Springer Nature
Journal:
International Journal of Obesity More from this journal
Volume:
46
Issue:
5
Pages:
943-950
Publication date:
2022-01-14
Acceptance date:
2021-12-16
DOI:
EISSN:
1476-5497
ISSN:
0307-0565
Pmid:
35031696


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1232849
Local pid:
pubs:1232849
Deposit date:
2022-12-02
ARK identifier:

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