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Protocol for a Systematic Review and Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis of Randomized Trials of Screening for Atrial Fibrillation to Prevent Stroke

Abstract:
INTRODUCTION:  Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common cause of stroke. Timely diagnosis of AF and treatment with oral anticoagulation (OAC) can prevent up to two-thirds of AF-related strokes. Ambulatory electrocardiographic (ECG) monitoring can identify undiagnosed AF in at-risk individuals, but the impact of population-based ECG screening on stroke is uncertain, as ongoing and published randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have generally been underpowered for stroke.METHODS AND ANALYSIS:  The AF-SCREEN Collaboration, with support from AFFECT-EU, have begun a systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis of RCTs evaluating ECG screening for AF. The primary outcome is stroke. Secondary outcomes include AF detection, OAC prescription, hospitalization, mortality, and bleeding.After developing a common data dictionary, anonymized data will be collated from individual trials into a central database. We will assess risk of bias using the Cochrane Collaboration tool, and overall quality of evidence with the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach.We will pool data using random effects models. Prespecified subgroup and multilevel meta-regression analyses will explore heterogeneity. We will perform prespecified trial sequential meta-analyses of published trials to determine when the optimal information size has been reached, and account for unpublished trials using the SAMURAI approach.IMPACT AND DISSEMINATION:  Individual participant data meta-analysis will generate adequate power to assess the risks and benefits of AF screening. Meta-regression will permit exploration of the specific patient, screening methodology, and health system factors that influence outcomes.TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER:  PROSPERO CRD42022310308.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher:
Thieme Gruppe
Journal:
Thrombosis and Haemostasis More from this journal
Volume:
123
Issue:
03
Pages:
366-376
Publication date:
2023-03-02
DOI:
ISSN:
0340-6245


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1888748
Local pid:
pubs:1888748
Source identifiers:
W4322762845
Deposit date:
2026-06-09
ARK identifier:
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