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FORM-2C (Frequency of Renal Monitoring – Creatinine and Cystatin C): an observational cohort study of primary care patients with reduced eGFR

Abstract:

Background: Monitoring is the mainstay of chronic kidney disease management in primary care. There is little evidence on how best to monitor.

Aim: To compare the effectiveness of eGFR derived from creatinine or cystatin C, to predict renal function decline among those with a recent eGFR of 30-89 ml/min/1.73m².

Design and setting: Observational cohort study in UK primary care.

Method: In 750 adult patients with a recent estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 30-89 ml/min/1.73m² both creatinine and cystatin C were measured at seven study visits over two years. The primary outcome was change in eGFR derived from creatinine or cystatin C between 6 and 24 months.

Results: Average change in eGFR was 0.51 ml/min/1.73m²/year or -2.35 ml/min/1.73m²/year when estimated by creatinine or cystatin C respectively. The c-statistic for predicting renal decline using creatinine-derived eGFR was 0.495 (95% CI 0.471 to 0.519). The equivalent c-statistic using cystatin C-derived eGFR was 0.497 (95% CI 0.468 to 0.525). Similar results were obtained when restricting analyses to those over or under 75 years, or with eGFR above 60 ml/min/1.73m2. In those with eGFR below 60 ml/min/1.73m2 cystatin C-derived eGFR was more predictive than creatinine-derived eGFR for future decline.

Conclusion: In the primary analysis neither eGFR estimated from creatinine nor cystatin C predicted future change in kidney function, partly due to small changes during two years. In some secondary analyses there was a suggestion that cystatin C to estimate eGFR was a more useful biomarker, especially in those with baseline eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73m2.

Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.3399/BJGP.2020.0940

Authors

More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Sub department:
Primary Care Health Sciences
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-7205-2051
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Primary Care Health Sciences
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Primary Care Health Sciences
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-6589-5456
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Primary Care Health Sciences
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-0519-2334
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Primary Care Health Sciences
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-7976-7172


Publisher:
Royal College of General Practitioners
Journal:
British Journal of General Practice More from this journal
Volume:
71
Issue:
710
Pages:
e677-e684
Publication date:
2021-08-26
Acceptance date:
2021-04-07
DOI:
EISSN:
1478-5242
ISSN:
0960-1643


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1170811
Local pid:
pubs:1170811
Deposit date:
2021-04-08
ARK identifier:

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