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Journal article

Africa's prospective urban transition

Abstract:
The headline demographics of sub-Saharan Africa appear to be reason for concern. Looking back, since Independence in the 1960s, the region has been the major exception to the global demographic trend of rising height: In some countries, average height has even been declining [eLife (2016)]. Looking forward, between now and 2050, the population is set to grow more rapidly than that of any other region. But the demographic transition that is typically of most concern to African governments is not about the size or stature of overall population, it is urbanization. Politicians fear the consequences of a restive urban youth: an Arab Spring repeated south of the Sahara. Many would like to slow the pace of urbanization.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1017/dem.2016.32

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
Blavatnik School of Government
Role:
Author


More from this funder
Grant:
Global Research Program on Spatial Development of Cities
More from this funder
Grant:
Global Research Program on Spatial Development of Cities funded by the Multi Donor Trust Fund on Sustainable Urbanization of the World Bank


Publisher:
Cambridge University Press
Journal:
Journal of Demographic Economics More from this journal
Volume:
83
Issue:
1
Pages:
3-11
Publication date:
2017-02-13
Acceptance date:
2017-01-09
DOI:
EISSN:
2054-0906
ISSN:
2054-0892


Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:683797
UUID:
uuid:7ffe5d39-8676-47df-85cd-dde4479edb65
Local pid:
pubs:683797
Source identifiers:
683797
Deposit date:
2017-06-23

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