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A prospective ecological risk assessment of high-efficiency III–V/silicon tandem solar cells

Abstract:
III–V/Silicon tandem solar cells offer one of the most promising avenues for high-efficiency, high-stability photovoltaics. However, a key concern is the potential environmental release of group III–V elements, especially arsenic. To inform long-term policies on the energy transition and energy security, we develop and implement a framework that fully integrates future PV demand scenarios with dynamic stock, emission, and fate models in a probabilistic ecological risk assessment. We examine three geographical scales: local (including a floating utility-scale PV and waste treatment), regional (city-wide), and continental (Europe). Our probabilistic assessment considers a wide range of possible values for over one hundred uncertain technical, environmental, and regulatory parameters. We find that III–V/silicon PV integration in energy grids at all scales presents low-to-negligible risks to soil and freshwater organisms. Risks are further abated if recycling of III–V materials is considered at the panels' end-of-life.Environmental BiologyIndustrial Ecolog
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1039/d3em00492a

Authors

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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-8199-8420
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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-7964-3652
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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-2884-3037
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Institution:
University of Oxford
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-2935-4799


Publisher:
Royal Society of Chemistry
Journal:
Environmental Science: Processes & Impacts More from this journal
Volume:
26
Issue:
3
Pages:
540-554
Publication date:
2024-03-20
DOI:
EISSN:
2050-7895
ISSN:
2050-7887


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
2350518
Local pid:
pubs:2350518
Source identifiers:
W4391453324
Deposit date:
2025-12-17
ARK identifier:
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