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Journal article

Global food system emissions could preclude achieving the 1.5° and 2°C climate change targets

Abstract:
The Paris Agreement’s goal of limiting the increase in global temperature to 1.5° or 2°C above preindustrial levels requires rapid reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. Although reducing emissions from fossil fuels is essential for meeting this goal, other sources of emissions may also preclude its attainment. We show that even if fossil fuel emissions were immediately halted, current trends in global food systems would prevent the achievement of the 1.5°C target and, by the end of the century, threaten the achievement of the 2°C target. Meeting the 1.5°C target requires rapid and ambitious changes to food systems as well as to all nonfood sectors. The 2°C target could be achieved with less-ambitious changes to food systems, but only if fossil fuel and other nonfood emissions are eliminated soon.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1126/science.aba7357

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
Nuffield Department of Population Health
Role:
Author



Publisher:
American Association for the Advancement of Science
Journal:
Science More from this journal
Volume:
370
Issue:
6517
Pages:
705-708
Publication date:
2020-11-06
Acceptance date:
2020-09-01
DOI:
EISSN:
1095-9203
ISSN:
0036-8075


Keywords:
Pubs id:
1143224
Local pid:
pubs:1143224
Deposit date:
2020-11-11

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