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An empiric risk score to guide PrEP targeting among MSM in coastal Kenya

Abstract:
Men who have sex with men (MSM), who have heterogeneous HIV-acquisition risks are not specifically targeted in Kenyan pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) guidelines. We used data from an open cohort, which followed 753 initially HIV-negative MSM participants for more than 1378.5 person-years, to develop an empiric risk score for targeting PrEP delivery. Independent predictors of incident HIV-1 infection in this cohort were an age of 18-24 years, having only male sex partners, having receptive anal intercourse, having any unprotected sex, and having group sex. Poisson model coefficients were used to assign a numeric score to each statistically significant predictor. A risk score of ≥ 1 corresponded to an HIV-1 incidence of ≥ 2.2 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2-4.1] and identified 81.3% of the cohort participants as being at high risk for HIV-1 acquisition. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.76 (95% CI 0.71-0.80). This empiric risk score may help Kenyan health care providers to assess HIV-1 acquisition risk and encourage PrEP uptake by high-risk MSM.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1007/s10461-018-2141-2

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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-8386-7555


Publisher:
Springer
Journal:
AIDS and Behavior More from this journal
Volume:
22
Issue:
S1
Pages:
35-44
Publication date:
2018-05-16
DOI:
EISSN:
1573-3254
ISSN:
1090-7165
Pmid:
29767324


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:853013
UUID:
uuid:767fb6ae-b23e-43c3-a1ec-d429da6d7c23
Local pid:
pubs:853013
Source identifiers:
853013
Deposit date:
2018-11-20
ARK identifier:

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