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Potential sea ice predictability and the role of stochastic sea ice strength perturbations

Abstract:

Ensemble experiments with a climate model are carried out in order to explore how incorporating a stochastic ice strength parameterization to account for model uncertainty affects estimates of potential sea ice predictability on time scales from days to seasons. The impact of this new parameterization depends strongly on the spatial scale, lead time and the hemisphere being considered: Whereas the representation of model uncertainty increases the ensemble spread of Arctic sea ice thickness pr...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed
Version:
Publisher's version

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Publisher copy:
10.1002/2014GL062081

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Oxford, MPLS, Physics, Atmos Ocean and Planet Physics
Goessling, HF More by this author
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union Publisher's website
Journal:
Geophysical Research Letters Journal website
Volume:
41
Issue:
23
Pages:
8396-8403
Publication date:
2014-12-05
DOI:
ISSN:
0094-8276
URN:
uuid:741e818a-72ac-474d-b7f4-b18044a5e77e
Source identifiers:
580312
Local pid:
pubs:580312

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