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Natural resources: Curse or blessing?

Abstract:
Are natural resources a "curse" or a "blessing" The empirical evidence suggests that either outcome is possible. This paper surveys a variety of hypotheses and supporting evidence for why some countries benefit and others lose from the presence of natural resources. These include that a resource bonanza induces appreciation of the real exchange rate, deindustrialization, and bad growth prospects, and that these adverse effects are more severe in volatile countries with bad institutions and lack of rule of law, corruption, presidential democracies, and underdeveloped financial systems. Another hypothesis is that a resource boom reinforces rent grabbing and civil conflict especially if institutions are bad, induces corruption especially in nondemocratic countries, and keeps in place bad policies. Finally, resource rich developing economies seem unable to successfully convert their depleting exhaustible resources into other productive assets. The survey also offers some welfare-based fiscal rules for harnessing resource windfalls in developed and developing economies.

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Publisher copy:
10.1257/jel.49.2.366

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Publisher:
American Economic Association
Journal:
Journal of Economic Literature More from this journal
Volume:
49
Issue:
2
Pages:
366 - 420
Publication date:
2011-01-01
DOI:
ISSN:
0022-0515


Language:
English
UUID:
uuid:71c3bf65-8c65-4eca-bb97-cf3cebecedfd
Local pid:
oai:economics.ouls.ox.ac.uk:15201
Deposit date:
2011-08-16

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