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When can the two-armed bandit algorithm be trusted?

Abstract:
We investigate the asymptotic behavior of one version of the so-called two-armed bandit algorithm. It is an example of stochastic approximation procedure whose associated ODE has both a repulsive and an attractive equilibrium, at which the procedure is noiseless. We show that if the gain parameter is constant or goes to 0 not too fast, the algorithm does fall in the noiseless repulsive equilibrium with positive probability, whereas it always converges to its natural attractive target when the gain parameter goes to zero at some appropriate rates depending on the parameters of the model. We also elucidate the behavior of the constant step algorithm when the step goes to 0. Finally, we highlight the connection between the algorithm and the Polya urn. An application to asset allocation is briefly described. © Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2004.
Publication status:
Published

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Publisher copy:
10.1214/105051604000000350

Authors

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Mathematical Institute
Role:
Author


Journal:
ANNALS OF APPLIED PROBABILITY More from this journal
Volume:
14
Issue:
3
Pages:
1424-1454
Publication date:
2004-08-01
DOI:
EISSN:
1050-5164
ISSN:
1050-5164


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:20051
UUID:
uuid:6c38dcc1-ceb6-48ba-a3af-ec6bb3d74de2
Local pid:
pubs:20051
Source identifiers:
20051
Deposit date:
2012-12-19
ARK identifier:

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