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Tropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change

Abstract:
Understanding the capacity of forests to adapt to climate change is of pivotal importance for conservation science, yet this is still widely unknown. This knowledge gap is particularly acute in high-biodiversity tropical forests. Here, we examined how tropical forests of the Americas have shifted community trait composition in recent decades as a response to changes in climate. Based on historical trait-climate relationships, we found that, overall, the studied functional traits show shifts of less than 8% of what would be expected given the observed changes in climate. However, the recruit assemblage shows shifts of 21% relative to climate change expectation. The most diverse forests on Earth are changing in functional trait composition but at a rate that is fundamentally insufficient to track climate change.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Files:
Publisher copy:
10.1126/science.adl5414

Authors


More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
SOGE
Sub department:
Environmental Change Institute
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-9190-3229
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
SOGE
Sub department:
Environmental Change Institute
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
SOGE
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-3503-4783
et al.


More from this funder
Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/02b5d8509
Grant:
NE/T011084/1
NE/Z504191/1
NE/K016431/1
NE/S01084X/1
More from this funder
Funder identifier:
https://ror.org/012mzw131


Publisher:
American Association for the Advancement of Science
Journal:
Science More from this journal
Volume:
387
Issue:
6738
Article number:
eadl541
Publication date:
2025-03-07
Acceptance date:
2025-01-08
DOI:
EISSN:
1095-9203
ISSN:
0036-8075


Language:
English
Pubs id:
2084368
Local pid:
pubs:2084368
Deposit date:
2025-02-07

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