Journal article : Comment
Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability?
- Abstract:
- It is a pleasure to comment on the paper by Katsikopoulos et al. (2021), where they present a provocative and stimulating viewpoint in which they argue that simple forecasting rules based on heuristics frequently outperform big data models and should be used as a benchmark when testing big data models. I argue that it is important not to conflate simplicity with adaptability, and that there is a role for big data models in forecasting.
- Publication status:
- Published
- Peer review status:
- Reviewed (other)
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- Files:
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(Preview, Accepted manuscript, pdf, 138.7KB, Terms of use)
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- Publisher copy:
- 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.02.001
Authors
- Publisher:
- Elsevier
- Journal:
- International Journal of Forecasting More from this journal
- Volume:
- 38
- Issue:
- 2
- Pages:
- 622-624
- Publication date:
- 2021-03-03
- Acceptance date:
- 2021-02-03
- DOI:
- ISSN:
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0169-2070
- Language:
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English
- Keywords:
- Subtype:
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Comment
- Pubs id:
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1160329
- Local pid:
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pubs:1160329
- Deposit date:
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2021-02-09
- ARK identifier:
Terms of use
- Copyright holder:
- International Institute of Forecasters
- Copyright date:
- 2021
- Rights statement:
- © 2021 International Institute of Forecasters. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
- Notes:
-
This is the accepted manuscript version of the article. The final version is available from Elsevier at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.02.001
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