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Return period of extreme rainfall substantially decreases under 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C warming: a case study for Uttarakhand, India

Abstract:

In June 2013, Uttarakhand experienced a hydro-meteorological disaster due to a 4 d extreme precipitation event of return period more than 100 years, claiming thousands of lives and causing enormous damage to infrastructure. Using the weather@home climate modelling system and its Half a degree Additional warming, Prognosis and Projected Impacts simulations, this study investigates the change in the return period of similar events in a 1.5 °C and 2 °C warmer world, compared to current and pre-i...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1088/1748-9326/ab0bce

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
SOGE
Sub department:
Environmental Change Institute
Role:
Author
Publisher:
IOP Publishing
Journal:
Environmental Research Letters More from this journal
Volume:
14
Issue:
4
Article number:
044033
Publication date:
2019-04-17
Acceptance date:
2019-03-01
DOI:
EISSN:
1748-9326
ISSN:
1748-9326
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:995736
UUID:
uuid:63f64033-51ec-4b35-b699-6148d126e918
Local pid:
pubs:995736
Source identifiers:
995736
Deposit date:
2019-09-12

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